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SinalIA
AVA

AVAX

Avalanche
Forming 3h ago Downward read medium conviction

AVAX: 4 of 6 conditions met

4 of the 6 conditions of the method are aligned on AVAX, with the 4h trend reading down. EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.60% of price. RSI14 at 33.8, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend. Funding at percentile 88 of the last 30 days — longs paying more than usual. 24h volume at 1.74× the 20-period median. OI -0.3% and price -3.2% over the last 24h — moving in the same direction. Insufficient 90-day ATR sample: 47 observations available, 540 required.

The data is 2335 seconds old, above the freshness limit of the method.

Reference price

$6.21

-3.30% · 24h

Evidence strength

4 / 6 aligned

Deterministic reading. The model was unavailable or its text did not pass the publication rules. Published 11/08/2026, 17:40 UTC · engine 1.1.0

Signal trajectory

Price and calculated target

Provisional scenario
AVA

AVAX / USD

Multi-venue · 1h candles

OBSERVED MARKET48H SCENARIO$6.64$6.48$6.31$6.15$5.99ENTRYTARGET2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · O $6.54 · H $6.54 · L $6.52 · C $6.532026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · O $6.53 · H $6.53 · L $6.52 · C $6.522026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.53 · L $6.51 · C $6.522026-08-08T21:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.53 · L $6.51 · C $6.522026-08-08T22:00:00.000Z · O $6.51 · H $6.51 · L $6.46 · C $6.472026-08-08T23:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.48 · L $6.46 · C $6.482026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.48 · L $6.45 · C $6.482026-08-09T01:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-09T02:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.472026-08-09T03:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.47 · L $6.44 · C $6.462026-08-09T04:00:00.000Z · O $6.46 · H $6.48 · L $6.45 · C $6.472026-08-09T05:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.47 · L $6.43 · C $6.452026-08-09T06:00:00.000Z · O $6.45 · H $6.49 · L $6.45 · C $6.492026-08-09T07:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-09T08:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.50 · L $6.46 · C $6.472026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-09T10:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.48 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.47 · L $6.46 · C $6.462026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · O $6.46 · H $6.48 · L $6.45 · C $6.482026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.51 · L $6.48 · C $6.502026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · O $6.50 · H $6.55 · L $6.50 · C $6.552026-08-09T16:00:00.000Z · O $6.55 · H $6.58 · L $6.53 · C $6.542026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · O $6.54 · H $6.56 · L $6.53 · C $6.552026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · O $6.55 · H $6.55 · L $6.53 · C $6.542026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · O $6.54 · H $6.57 · L $6.53 · C $6.562026-08-09T20:00:00.000Z · O $6.56 · H $6.57 · L $6.54 · C $6.562026-08-09T21:00:00.000Z · O $6.57 · H $6.59 · L $6.55 · C $6.572026-08-09T22:00:00.000Z · O $6.56 · H $6.58 · L $6.48 · C $6.492026-08-09T23:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.50 · L $6.38 · C $6.422026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z · O $6.42 · H $6.47 · L $6.37 · C $6.462026-08-10T01:00:00.000Z · O $6.46 · H $6.54 · L $6.45 · C $6.522026-08-10T02:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.52 · L $6.46 · C $6.512026-08-10T03:00:00.000Z · O $6.51 · H $6.51 · L $6.46 · C $6.492026-08-10T04:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.52 · L $6.48 · C $6.502026-08-10T05:00:00.000Z · O $6.50 · H $6.56 · L $6.50 · C $6.542026-08-10T06:00:00.000Z · O $6.55 · H $6.57 · L $6.52 · C $6.532026-08-10T07:00:00.000Z · O $6.53 · H $6.55 · L $6.52 · C $6.532026-08-10T08:00:00.000Z · O $6.53 · H $6.55 · L $6.50 · C $6.512026-08-10T09:00:00.000Z · O $6.51 · H $6.52 · L $6.49 · C $6.502026-08-10T10:00:00.000Z · O $6.50 · H $6.53 · L $6.49 · C $6.522026-08-10T11:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.54 · L $6.51 · C $6.542026-08-10T12:00:00.000Z · O $6.55 · H $6.58 · L $6.52 · C $6.532026-08-10T13:00:00.000Z · O $6.53 · H $6.54 · L $6.50 · C $6.522026-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.56 · L $6.51 · C $6.512026-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.53 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-10T16:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.48 · L $6.41 · C $6.432026-08-10T17:00:00.000Z · O $6.43 · H $6.49 · L $6.42 · C $6.482026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.492026-08-10T19:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.49 · L $6.45 · C $6.472026-08-10T20:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.47 · L $6.45 · C $6.452026-08-10T21:00:00.000Z · O $6.45 · H $6.45 · L $6.42 · C $6.422026-08-10T22:00:00.000Z · O $6.43 · H $6.44 · L $6.41 · C $6.422026-08-10T23:00:00.000Z · O $6.42 · H $6.44 · L $6.41 · C $6.432026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z · O $6.43 · H $6.48 · L $6.43 · C $6.472026-08-11T01:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.53 · L $6.47 · C $6.522026-08-11T02:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.55 · L $6.52 · C $6.542026-08-11T03:00:00.000Z · O $6.54 · H $6.55 · L $6.53 · C $6.532026-08-11T04:00:00.000Z · O $6.54 · H $6.54 · L $6.51 · C $6.522026-08-11T05:00:00.000Z · O $6.52 · H $6.52 · L $6.48 · C $6.492026-08-11T06:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.51 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-11T07:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.48 · L $6.47 · C $6.472026-08-11T08:00:00.000Z · O $6.48 · H $6.49 · L $6.47 · C $6.482026-08-11T09:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.53 · L $6.47 · C $6.512026-08-11T10:00:00.000Z · O $6.50 · H $6.51 · L $6.45 · C $6.492026-08-11T11:00:00.000Z · O $6.49 · H $6.52 · L $6.49 · C $6.502026-08-11T12:00:00.000Z · O $6.50 · H $6.51 · L $6.47 · C $6.472026-08-11T13:00:00.000Z · O $6.47 · H $6.47 · L $6.42 · C $6.422026-08-11T14:00:00.000Z · O $6.42 · H $6.42 · L $6.21 · C $6.252026-08-11T15:00:00.000Z · O $6.25 · H $6.25 · L $6.11 · C $6.212026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · O $6.21 · H $6.25 · L $6.19 · C $6.222026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · O $6.22 · H $6.24 · L $6.21 · C $6.21NOW08 Aug, 1809 Aug, 1810 Aug, 1711 Aug, 17
Up candle Down candle Calculated objective

Scenario -2.70%

Market context

Live inputs

4 contributing venues · 7 configured

Reference price
$6.21
24h change
-3.30%
Latest funding
+0.0100%
Open interest · 24h
+1.10%

Explainable by design

Evidence behind the signal

Two or three conditions aligned, or data that supports no more than that.

4/6

conditions aligned

  • 4h trend: EMA21 against EMA50

    Aligned

    EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.60% of price.

  • 4h momentum: RSI14 outside the neutral band

    Aligned

    RSI14 at 33.8, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend.

  • Funding at a 30-day extreme

    Aligned

    Funding at percentile 88 of the last 30 days — longs paying more than usual.

  • Open interest diverging from price (24h)

    Not aligned

    OI -0.3% and price -3.2% over the last 24h — moving in the same direction.

  • Volatility above the 90-day regime

    Not aligned

    Insufficient 90-day ATR sample: 47 observations available, 540 required.

  • 24h volume above usual

    Aligned

    24h volume at 1.74× the 20-period median.

Cited in the published reading: trend_4h, momentum_4h, funding_extreme, volume_confirm.

Data-state identifier: 33fba97dd2b9e400

Measured scenario, not a promise or trading instruction.

Evidence first. Every outcome recorded.

Market intelligence, not investment advice or a price promise. Crypto assets carry a high risk of total loss.