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SinalIA
AVA

AVAX

Avalanche
Forming 31 min ago Downward read medium conviction

AVAX: 3 of 6 conditions met

3 of the 6 conditions of the method are aligned on AVAX, with the 4h trend reading down. EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.82% of price. RSI14 at 36.0, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend. OI falling 1.1% while price is rising 2.5%. Funding at percentile 34, inside the usual 20–80 range. Insufficient 90-day ATR sample: 185 observations available, 540 required. 24h volume at 0.56× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

The data is 1254 seconds old, above the freshness limit of the method.

Reference price

$10.29

+1.50% · 24h

Evidence strength

3 / 6 aligned

Deterministic reading. The model was unavailable or its text did not pass the publication rules. Published 09/10/2026, 22:20 UTC · engine 1.1.0

Signal trajectory

Price and calculated target

Provisional scenario
AVA

AVAX / USD

Multi-venue · 1h candles

OBSERVED MARKET48H SCENARIO$11.93$11.33$10.73$10.13$9.53ENTRYTARGET2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · O $11.55 · H $11.62 · L $11.54 · C $11.622026-10-06T23:00:00.000Z · O $11.62 · H $11.73 · L $11.61 · C $11.612026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z · O $11.61 · H $11.66 · L $11.54 · C $11.602026-10-07T01:00:00.000Z · O $11.60 · H $11.63 · L $11.33 · C $11.342026-10-07T02:00:00.000Z · O $11.34 · H $11.35 · L $10.95 · C $11.002026-10-07T03:00:00.000Z · O $11.00 · H $11.07 · L $10.94 · C $11.032026-10-07T04:00:00.000Z · O $11.03 · H $11.10 · L $10.98 · C $11.072026-10-07T05:00:00.000Z · O $11.07 · H $11.29 · L $11.06 · C $11.272026-10-07T06:00:00.000Z · O $11.27 · H $11.34 · L $11.19 · C $11.242026-10-07T07:00:00.000Z · O $11.24 · H $11.35 · L $11.24 · C $11.322026-10-07T08:00:00.000Z · O $11.33 · H $11.33 · L $11.18 · C $11.182026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · O $11.18 · H $11.22 · L $10.98 · C $11.012026-10-07T10:00:00.000Z · O $11.01 · H $11.13 · L $10.95 · C $11.052026-10-07T11:00:00.000Z · O $11.05 · H $11.08 · L $10.97 · C $11.002026-10-07T12:00:00.000Z · O $11.00 · H $11.15 · L $10.97 · C $11.112026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · O $11.11 · H $11.33 · L $11.10 · C $11.282026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · O $11.28 · H $11.33 · L $11.17 · C $11.222026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z · O $11.22 · H $11.25 · L $11.05 · C $11.242026-10-07T16:00:00.000Z · O $11.24 · H $11.40 · L $11.21 · C $11.292026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · O $11.29 · H $11.34 · L $11.20 · C $11.252026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · O $11.25 · H $11.40 · L $11.22 · C $11.232026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · O $11.23 · H $11.33 · L $11.20 · C $11.232026-10-07T20:00:00.000Z · O $11.23 · H $11.24 · L $11.14 · C $11.232026-10-07T21:00:00.000Z · O $11.23 · H $11.26 · L $10.94 · C $10.992026-10-07T22:00:00.000Z · O $10.99 · H $11.11 · L $10.96 · C $11.082026-10-07T23:00:00.000Z · O $11.08 · H $11.18 · L $11.08 · C $11.132026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z · O $11.13 · H $11.16 · L $11.04 · C $11.062026-10-08T01:00:00.000Z · O $11.06 · H $11.20 · L $11.05 · C $11.062026-10-08T02:00:00.000Z · O $11.07 · H $11.14 · L $11.05 · C $11.092026-10-08T03:00:00.000Z · O $11.09 · H $11.10 · L $10.98 · C $10.992026-10-08T04:00:00.000Z · O $10.99 · H $11.02 · L $10.67 · C $10.742026-10-08T05:00:00.000Z · O $10.74 · H $10.98 · L $10.73 · C $10.842026-10-08T06:00:00.000Z · O $10.84 · H $10.93 · L $10.77 · C $10.902026-10-08T07:00:00.000Z · O $10.89 · H $10.98 · L $10.82 · C $10.842026-10-08T08:00:00.000Z · O $10.83 · H $10.88 · L $10.76 · C $10.772026-10-08T09:00:00.000Z · O $10.77 · H $10.90 · L $10.76 · C $10.902026-10-08T10:00:00.000Z · O $10.90 · H $10.92 · L $10.72 · C $10.762026-10-08T11:00:00.000Z · O $10.76 · H $10.82 · L $10.69 · C $10.742026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z · O $10.73 · H $10.73 · L $10.52 · C $10.572026-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · O $10.57 · H $10.63 · L $10.47 · C $10.592026-10-08T14:00:00.000Z · O $10.58 · H $10.66 · L $10.56 · C $10.592026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z · O $10.59 · H $10.59 · L $9.89 · C $10.002026-10-08T16:00:00.000Z · O $10.00 · H $10.13 · L $9.94 · C $9.952026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · O $9.95 · H $10.00 · L $9.76 · C $9.842026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · O $9.84 · H $10.04 · L $9.84 · C $10.002026-10-08T19:00:00.000Z · O $10.00 · H $10.12 · L $10.00 · C $10.102026-10-08T20:00:00.000Z · O $10.10 · H $10.20 · L $10.10 · C $10.192026-10-08T21:00:00.000Z · O $10.19 · H $10.20 · L $10.06 · C $10.082026-10-08T22:00:00.000Z · O $10.09 · H $10.16 · L $10.07 · C $10.142026-10-08T23:00:00.000Z · O $10.14 · H $10.17 · L $10.07 · C $10.082026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z · O $10.08 · H $10.10 · L $10.01 · C $10.082026-10-09T01:00:00.000Z · O $10.08 · H $10.24 · L $10.07 · C $10.202026-10-09T02:00:00.000Z · O $10.20 · H $10.33 · L $10.18 · C $10.282026-10-09T03:00:00.000Z · O $10.28 · H $10.34 · L $10.26 · C $10.292026-10-09T04:00:00.000Z · O $10.29 · H $10.31 · L $10.18 · C $10.212026-10-09T05:00:00.000Z · O $10.21 · H $10.34 · L $10.21 · C $10.302026-10-09T06:00:00.000Z · O $10.30 · H $10.39 · L $10.29 · C $10.342026-10-09T07:00:00.000Z · O $10.34 · H $10.43 · L $10.32 · C $10.402026-10-09T08:00:00.000Z · O $10.39 · H $10.46 · L $10.37 · C $10.412026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z · O $10.41 · H $10.43 · L $10.36 · C $10.422026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · O $10.42 · H $10.42 · L $10.30 · C $10.322026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · O $10.31 · H $10.50 · L $10.29 · C $10.412026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · O $10.41 · H $10.42 · L $10.25 · C $10.272026-10-09T13:00:00.000Z · O $10.28 · H $10.32 · L $10.18 · C $10.192026-10-09T14:00:00.000Z · O $10.18 · H $10.28 · L $10.14 · C $10.202026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · O $10.19 · H $10.19 · L $10.12 · C $10.192026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · O $10.19 · H $10.28 · L $10.18 · C $10.232026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · O $10.23 · H $10.26 · L $10.18 · C $10.232026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · O $10.23 · H $10.25 · L $10.13 · C $10.172026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · O $10.16 · H $10.20 · L $10.11 · C $10.132026-10-09T20:00:00.000Z · O $10.14 · H $10.23 · L $10.13 · C $10.232026-10-09T21:00:00.000Z · O $10.23 · H $10.34 · L $10.22 · C $10.33NOW06 Oct, 2207 Oct, 2208 Oct, 2109 Oct, 21
Up candle Down candle Calculated objective

Scenario -5.54%

Market context

Live inputs

5 contributing venues · 7 configured

Reference price
$10.29
24h change
+1.50%
Latest funding
+0.0019%
Open interest · 24h
-1.35%

Explainable by design

Evidence behind the signal

Two or three conditions aligned, or data that supports no more than that.

3/6

conditions aligned

  • 4h trend: EMA21 against EMA50

    Aligned

    EMA21 below EMA50 by 0.82% of price.

  • 4h momentum: RSI14 outside the neutral band

    Aligned

    RSI14 at 36.0, outside the 45–55 band and on the side of the downward trend.

  • Funding at a 30-day extreme

    Not aligned

    Funding at percentile 34, inside the usual 20–80 range.

  • Open interest diverging from price (24h)

    Aligned

    OI falling 1.1% while price is rising 2.5%.

  • Volatility above the 90-day regime

    Not aligned

    Insufficient 90-day ATR sample: 185 observations available, 540 required.

  • 24h volume above usual

    Not aligned

    24h volume at 0.56× the 20-period median, below the 1.5× threshold.

Cited in the published reading: trend_4h, momentum_4h, oi_divergence.

Data-state identifier: 532f6e196b7f0139

Measured scenario, not a promise or trading instruction.

Evidence first. Every outcome recorded.

Market intelligence, not investment advice or a price promise. Crypto assets carry a high risk of total loss.